Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Montrose to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMontrose to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.12
Kelty Hearts vs Montrose: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Kelty Hearts v Montrose in the Challenge Cup, played at New Central Park.
Current form
Kelty Hearts, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Hearts U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Montrose, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Formartine United, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Montrose, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kelty Hearts.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Montrose 1–1 Kelty Hearts.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kelty Hearts 1.6 xG, Montrose 2.9 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 73% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kelty Hearts 20%, draw 16%, Montrose 65%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Montrose to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kelty Hearts 1–2 Montrose. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kelty Hearts20%fair 5.05 · @3.50
Draw16%fair 6.38 · @4.20
Montrose65%fair 1.55 · @1.70
4.44Expected goals
1.58Kelty Hearts xG
2.86Montrose xG
73%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%
From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 1.6 – 2.9 Montrose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?
On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Montrose 65%.
How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?
Our predicted score is Kelty Hearts 1–2 Montrose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?
Kelty Hearts vs Montrose (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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