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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Peterhead v Elgin City: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Balmoor

Peterhead

WLLWL
0–1
FT

Elgin City

WLLWL
Peterhead 59%Draw 20%Elgin City 21% Expected goals 2.25 – 1.29
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultPeterhead to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Peterhead vs Elgin City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Elgin City travel to face Peterhead on Saturday 26 September in the Challenge Cup, with Balmoor the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Peterhead, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Forfar Athletic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Elgin City, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dundee II, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jul 2026) it ended Elgin City 1–3 Peterhead.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Peterhead 2.3 xG, Elgin City 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Peterhead 59%, draw 20%, Elgin City 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peterhead 2–1 Elgin City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Peterhead59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.70
Elgin City21%fair 4.79 · @3.90
3.55Expected goals
2.25Peterhead xG
1.29Elgin City xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Peterhead 2.3 – 1.3 Elgin City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPeterhead to win ✗59%1.701.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.40
Draw no betPeterhead (draw no bet) ✗74%1.36–
Asian handicapElgin City +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.161.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.471.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.921.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
First team to scorePeterhead to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultPeterhead ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Peterhead / FT Peterhead ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

Peterhead – last 6

WLLWLD
22 Sep@ Forfar Athletic2–0W
19 Sepvs Airdrie United1–2L
12 Sep@ East Kilbride1–3L
8 Sepvs Clachnacuddin2–1W
5 Sepvs Montrose0–3L
29 Aug@ Alloa Athletic1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Elgin City – last 6

WLLWLW
22 Sepvs Dundee II3–0W
19 Sepvs Stranraer1–5L
12 Sep@ Annan Athletic0–2L
8 Sepvs Fraserburgh7–0W
5 Sep@ Dumbarton1–2L
29 Augvs Stirling Albion4–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jul 2026Elgin City v Peterhead1–3
Peterhead vs Elgin City head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Airdrie United7 Berwick Rangers1 177%1.12X14%7.5029%15.00 3.0–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic2 Gala Fairydean Rovers2 172%1.08X17%10.00212%15.00 2.6–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Hibernian U211 172%1.22X17%6.00212%8.00 2.4–0.9xG 1Annan Athletic to win 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic3 Motherwell U210 167%1.38X11%5.50222%4.75 2.6–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin3 Celtic II3 136%2.45X18%4.00246%2.20 2.0–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Cove Rangers2 Aberdeen U211 165%1.57X11%5.00224%3.50 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Cowdenbeath1 Clyde3 122%3.40X12%4.50265%1.67 1.2–2.3xG 2Clyde to win 65%@1.67 ✓
FT Dumbarton3 Banks O' Dee2 159%1.70X17%4.20224%3.60 2.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Peterhead vs Elgin City?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Peterhead vs Elgin City?

On our numbers Peterhead have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Elgin City 21%.

How many goals will there be in Peterhead vs Elgin City?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Peterhead vs Elgin City?

Our predicted score is Peterhead 2–1 Elgin City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Peterhead vs Elgin City?

Peterhead vs Elgin City (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Balmoor.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.