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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stranraer v East Kilbride: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Stair Park

Stranraer

LWWWL
4–3
FT

East Kilbride

DWWWL
Stranraer 23%Draw 18%East Kilbride 59% Expected goals 1.69 – 2.71
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: East Kilbride to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEast Kilbride to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.10

Stranraer vs East Kilbride: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Stranraer v East Kilbride in the Challenge Cup, played at Stair Park.

Current form

Stranraer, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Berwick Rangers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

East Kilbride, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Celtic II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stranraer 1.7 xG, East Kilbride 2.7 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stranraer 23%, draw 18%, East Kilbride 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.30.
  • Price worth noting: East Kilbride to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stranraer 1–2 East Kilbride. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stranraer23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @3.75
East Kilbride59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
4.39Expected goals
1.69Stranraer xG
2.71East Kilbride xG
72%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–16%
2–15%

From our goals model: Stranraer 1.7 – 2.7 East Kilbride expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEast Kilbride to win ✗59%1.691.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓72%1.391.30
Draw no betEast Kilbride (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapStranraer +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.091.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.301.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗60%1.671.44
First team to scoreEast Kilbride to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultEast Kilbride ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.10–

Recent results

Stranraer – last 6

LWWWLW
22 Sep@ Berwick Rangers2–3L
19 Sep@ Elgin City5–1W
12 Sepvs Dumbarton3–1W
5 Sep@ Forfar Athletic3–0W
1 Sepvs Celtic II3–4L
29 Augvs Kelty Hearts2–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

East Kilbride – last 6

DWWWLL
22 Sepvs Celtic II3–3D
19 Sep@ Alloa Athletic2–1W
12 Sepvs Peterhead3–1W
8 Sepvs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic3–1W
5 Sepvs Hamilton Academical0–1L
29 Aug@ Ross County0–4L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stranraer and East Kilbride.

Stranraer vs East Kilbride head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Airdrie United7 Berwick Rangers1 177%1.12X14%7.5029%15.00 3.0–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic2 Gala Fairydean Rovers2 172%1.08X17%10.00212%15.00 2.6–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Hibernian U211 172%1.22X17%6.00212%8.00 2.4–0.9xG 1Annan Athletic to win 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic3 Motherwell U210 167%1.38X11%5.50222%4.75 2.6–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin3 Celtic II3 136%2.45X18%4.00246%2.20 2.0–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Cove Rangers2 Aberdeen U211 165%1.57X11%5.00224%3.50 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Cowdenbeath1 Clyde3 122%3.40X12%4.50265%1.67 1.2–2.3xG 2Clyde to win 65%@1.67 ✓
FT Dumbarton3 Banks O' Dee2 159%1.70X17%4.20224%3.60 2.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stranraer vs East Kilbride?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Stranraer vs East Kilbride?

On our numbers Stranraer have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 18% and East Kilbride 59%.

How many goals will there be in Stranraer vs East Kilbride?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stranraer vs East Kilbride?

Our predicted score is Stranraer 1–2 East Kilbride, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Stranraer vs East Kilbride?

Stranraer vs East Kilbride (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stair Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.