AFC Emley 14%Draw 21%Gainsborough Trinity 64%Expected goals 0.91 – 2.11
64%
Betarazi pick
Gainsborough Trinity to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceGainsborough Trinity or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 13.05
AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AFC Emley welcome Gainsborough Trinity for a Non League Premier Northern fixture on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, AFC Emley are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Gainsborough Trinity are 8th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
AFC Emley, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Rylands, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Gainsborough Trinity, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Whitby Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Gainsborough Trinity, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for AFC Emley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Emley 0.9 xG, Gainsborough Trinity 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Emley 14%, draw 21%, Gainsborough Trinity 64%.
Lower-risk option: Gainsborough Trinity or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gainsborough Trinity to win (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Emley 0–2 Gainsborough Trinity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Emley14%fair 6.92 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.75
Gainsborough Trinity64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
3.02Expected goals
0.91AFC Emley xG
2.11Gainsborough Trinity xG
48%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: AFC Emley 0.9 – 2.1 Gainsborough Trinity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gainsborough Trinity to win✓
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Gainsborough Trinity or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Gainsborough Trinity (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Gainsborough Trinity -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Gainsborough Trinity to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Gainsborough Trinity ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
13.05
–
Recent results
AFC Emley – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Oct
@ Rylands
1–4
L
29 Sep
vs Workington
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Bootle
0–5
L
19 Sep
vs Spennymoor Town
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Bury
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Guiseley AFC
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gainsborough Trinity – last 6
WLDWDL
6 Oct
@ Whitby Town
6–2
W
3 Oct
vs Anstey Nomads
2–3
L
26 Sep
@ Bury
3–3
D
22 Sep
vs Leamington
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Leamington
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Avro
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Emley and Gainsborough Trinity.
What is the prediction for AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our pick is Gainsborough Trinity to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
On our numbers AFC Emley have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gainsborough Trinity 64%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our predicted score is AFC Emley 0–2 Gainsborough Trinity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity?
AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
