Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Leek Town vs Ashton United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Leek Town v Ashton United in the Non League Premier Northern. In the table, Leek Town are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 17 matches; Ashton United are 18th (lower half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leek Town, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Rylands, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Ashton United, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Quorn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leek Town, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Ashton United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leek Town 1.7 xG, Ashton United 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leek Town 46%, draw 20%, Ashton United 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leek Town 2–1 Ashton United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leek Town46%fair 2.15 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Ashton United34%fair 2.98 · @2.62
3.05Expected goals
1.67Leek Town xG
1.38Ashton United xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Leek Town 1.7 – 1.4 Ashton United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leek Town to win✗
46%
2.15
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Leek Town (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Ashton United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Leek Town to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leek Town / FT Leek Town✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Leek Town – last 6
DWWLLW
6 Oct
vs Rylands
3–3
D
26 Sep
@ Worcester City
2–0
W
22 Sep
vs Hyde United
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Redcar Athletic
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Sporting Khalsa
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ashton United – last 6
DDLLWL
6 Oct
@ Quorn
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Warrington Town
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Buxton
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Cleethorpes Town
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Whitby Town
5–2
W
31 Aug
@ Curzon Ashton
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and Ashton United.
What is the prediction for Leek Town vs Ashton United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Leek Town vs Ashton United?
On our numbers Leek Town have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ashton United 34%.
How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs Ashton United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leek Town vs Ashton United?
Our predicted score is Leek Town 2–1 Ashton United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Leek Town vs Ashton United?
Leek Town vs Ashton United (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
