Bishop's Stortford 18%Draw 21%Bury Town 61%Expected goals 0.85 – 1.84
82%
Betarazi pick
Bury Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Bury Town to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBury Town to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceBury Town or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.24
Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Bishop's Stortford v Bury Town in the Non League Premier Southern Central. In the table, Bishop's Stortford are 18th, lower half, on 14 points after 17 matches; Bury Town are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bishop's Stortford, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Hanworth Villa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Bury Town, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to St Albans City, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Bury Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Bishop's Stortford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bishop's Stortford 0.8 xG, Bury Town 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bishop's Stortford 18%, draw 21%, Bury Town 61%.
Lower-risk option: Bury Town or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Bury Town to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bury Town or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bishop's Stortford 0–1 Bury Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bishop's Stortford18%fair 5.71 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Bury Town61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
2.69Expected goals
0.85Bishop's Stortford xG
1.84Bury Town xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bishop's Stortford 0.8 – 1.8 Bury Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bury Town to win✓
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Bury Town or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Draw no bet
Bury Town (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Bury Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Bury Town to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Bury Town ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bury Town / FT Bury Town✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Bishop's Stortford – last 6
LWWLWL
26 Sep
@ Hanworth Villa
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Stamford
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Leamington
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Berkhamsted
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Hitchin Town
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bury Town – last 6
LWWLWW
26 Sep
@ St Albans City
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs Hitchin Town
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Gorleston
4–3
W
12 Sep
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ London Lions
4–2
W
31 Aug
vs Leiston
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bishop's Stortford and Bury Town.
What is the prediction for Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
Our pick is Bury Town or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
On our numbers Bishop's Stortford have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bury Town 61%.
How many goals will there be in Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
Our predicted score is Bishop's Stortford 0–1 Bury Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
