Needham Market vs Stamford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Needham Market welcome Stamford for a Non League Premier Southern Central fixture on Tuesday 29 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Needham Market are 8th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Stamford are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Needham Market, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Canvey Island, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Stamford, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Loughborough University, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Needham Market, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Stamford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Needham Market 2.2 xG, Stamford 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Needham Market 69%, draw 21%, Stamford 10%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Needham Market to win (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Needham Market 2–0 Stamford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Needham Market69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
Stamford10%fair 10.07 · @6.50
2.93Expected goals
2.19Needham Market xG
0.74Stamford xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Needham Market 2.2 – 0.7 Stamford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Needham Market to win✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
Needham Market or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Draw no bet
Needham Market (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Needham Market -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Needham Market to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Needham Market ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Needham Market / FT Needham Market✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Needham Market – last 6
WLDWDD
26 Sep
@ Canvey Island
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Braintree
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Braintree
3–3
D
12 Sep
vs Worcester City
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Stanway Rovers
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Peterborough Sports
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stamford – last 6
LLLLLL
26 Sep
vs Loughborough University
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Bishop's Stortford
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Alvechurch
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Mickleover Sports
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Kettering Town
0–5
L
29 Aug
vs Rushall Olympic
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Needham Market and Stamford.
What is the prediction for Needham Market vs Stamford?
Our pick is Needham Market to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Needham Market vs Stamford?
On our numbers Needham Market have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stamford 10%.
How many goals will there be in Needham Market vs Stamford?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Needham Market vs Stamford?
Our predicted score is Needham Market 2–0 Stamford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Needham Market vs Stamford?
Needham Market vs Stamford (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
