Bath City 52%Draw 22%Plymouth Parkway 25%Expected goals 1.97 – 1.47
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultBath City to win ✗52% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 11 August the Non League Premier Southern South brings Bath City against Plymouth Parkway at Twerton Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bath City are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Plymouth Parkway are 4th (among the top four) with 29. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bath City, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sholing, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Plymouth Parkway, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Bracknell Town, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Plymouth Parkway, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Bath City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bath City 2.0 xG, Plymouth Parkway 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bath City 52%, draw 22%, Plymouth Parkway 25%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bath City 2–1 Plymouth Parkway. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bath City52%fair 1.91 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.00
Plymouth Parkway25%fair 3.92 · @3.90
3.45Expected goals
1.97Bath City xG
1.47Plymouth Parkway xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Bath City 2.0 – 1.5 Plymouth Parkway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bath City
Plymouth Parkway
Attack vs Non League Premier Southern South average
-17%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.18
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Southern South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bath City to win✗
52%
1.91
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Bath City (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Plymouth Parkway +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
Bath City to score first✗
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Bath City ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bath City / FT Bath City✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Bath City – last 6
WLDLLL
8 Aug
@ Sholing
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Farnborough
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Newport County
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Plymouth
0–3
L
14 Jul
vs Cardiff City U21
0–2
L
14 Apr
@ AFC Totton
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Plymouth Parkway – last 6
WLWWWW
8 Aug
vs Bracknell Town
7–0
W
11 Jul
vs Plymouth
1–4
L
6 Apr
@ Tiverton Town
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Basingstoke Town
3–0
W
24 Mar
vs Farnham Town
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Chertsey Town
3–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bath City and Plymouth Parkway.
What is the prediction for Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
On our numbers Bath City have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Plymouth Parkway 25%.
How many goals will there be in Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our predicted score is Bath City 2–1 Plymouth Parkway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Twerton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
