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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chippenham Town v Yate Town: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Chippenham Town 50%Draw 24%Yate Town 26% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.02
51%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultChippenham Town to win ✗50% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11

Chippenham Town vs Yate Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chippenham Town welcome Yate Town for a Non League Premier Southern South fixture on Tuesday 11 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Chippenham Town are 17th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Yate Town are 13th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chippenham Town, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Uxbridge, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Yate Town, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gosport Borough, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chippenham Town 1.4 xG, Yate Town 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chippenham Town 50%, draw 24%, Yate Town 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chippenham Town 1–1 Yate Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chippenham Town50%fair 2.00 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Yate Town26%fair 3.83 · @3.40
2.45Expected goals
1.43Chippenham Town xG
1.02Yate Town xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: Chippenham Town 1.4 – 1.0 Yate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Chippenham TownYate Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Southern South average-17%-14%
Goals conceded vs average+8%+4%
Our expected goals here1.591.28

Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Southern South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChippenham Town to win ✗50%2.001.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.95–
Draw no betChippenham Town (draw no bet)66%1.52–
Asian handicapYate Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.972.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreChippenham Town to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chippenham Town / FT Chippenham Town ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.11–

Recent results

Chippenham Town – last 6

LLWWLL
8 Aug@ Uxbridge0–2L
14 Jul@ Swindon Town0–1L
10 Jul@ Paulton Rovers2–1W
6 Aprvs AFC Totton2–0W
3 Apr@ Bath City0–1L
10 Mar@ Hemel Hempstead Town2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Yate Town – last 6

WLLWDD
8 Augvs Gosport Borough1–0W
1 Aug@ Leamington1–3L
11 Julvs Barry Town0–1L
6 Aprvs Evesham United3–0W
3 Apr@ Chertsey Town2–2D
24 Marvs Poole Town2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chippenham Town and Yate Town.

Chippenham Town vs Yate Town head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Uxbridge161132+1936
2Poole Town161024+1132
3Hanworth Villa16943+1331
4Plymouth Parkway15924+1329
5Chertsey Town16853+1029
6Bath City16925+629
7Chichester City17917+228
8Gosport Borough16736+324
9Wimborne Town13643+1322
10Taunton Town14716+922
11Frome Town15555+320
12Berkhamsted14536-218
13Yate Town16466-818
14Sholing14455-217
15Hanwell Town16457-417
16Basingstoke Town16448-716
17Chippenham Town16448-1216
18Evesham United175111-1616
19Gloucester City14365-315
20Bracknell Town174310-1815
21Malvern Town164210-1714
22Havant & Wville163310-1312

More Non League Premier Southern South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?

On our numbers Chippenham Town have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Yate Town 26%.

How many goals will there be in Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?

Our predicted score is Chippenham Town 1–1 Yate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?

Chippenham Town vs Yate Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.