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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chertsey Town v Berkhamsted: numbers & prediction

4–1
FT
Chertsey Town 44%Draw 25%Berkhamsted 31% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.08
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultChertsey Town to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Berkhamsted travel to face Chertsey Town on Tuesday 11 August in the Non League Premier Southern South – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Chertsey Town are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Berkhamsted are 12th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Chertsey Town, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gloucester City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Berkhamsted, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Havant & Wville, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Chertsey Town, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Berkhamsted.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chertsey Town 1.5 xG, Berkhamsted 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chertsey Town 44%, draw 25%, Berkhamsted 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chertsey Town 1–1 Berkhamsted. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chertsey Town44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.90
Berkhamsted31%fair 3.25 · @2.80
2.57Expected goals
1.49Chertsey Town xG
1.08Berkhamsted xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Chertsey Town 1.5 – 1.1 Berkhamsted expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Chertsey TownBerkhamsted
Attack vs Non League Premier Southern South average+22%-6%
Goals conceded vs average+0%-8%
Our expected goals here2.091.29

Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Southern South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChertsey Town to win ✓44%2.272.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.65
Draw no betChertsey Town (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapBerkhamsted +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreChertsey Town to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chertsey Town / FT Chertsey Town ✓28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Chertsey Town – last 6

WWWWDW
8 Aug@ Gloucester City1–0W
31 Julvs Westfield (Surrey)4–2W
28 Julvs Chesham United2–1W
21 Julvs Wealdstone2–0W
11 Jul@ Ashford Town (Middlesex)2–2D
6 Apr@ Walton & Hersham2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Berkhamsted – last 6

WLLWWL
8 Augvs Havant & Wville2–0W
11 Jul@ Bedford Town0–2L
29 Apr@ Farnham Town1–2L
6 Aprvs Hungerford Town4–1W
3 Apr@ Dorchester Town3–2W
10 Marvs Hanwell Town2–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chertsey Town and Berkhamsted.

Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Southern South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Uxbridge161132+1936
2Poole Town161024+1132
3Hanworth Villa16943+1331
4Plymouth Parkway15924+1329
5Chertsey Town16853+1029
6Bath City16925+629
7Chichester City17917+228
8Gosport Borough16736+324
9Wimborne Town13643+1322
10Taunton Town14716+922
11Frome Town15555+320
12Berkhamsted14536-218
13Yate Town16466-818
14Sholing14455-217
15Hanwell Town16457-417
16Basingstoke Town16448-716
17Chippenham Town16448-1216
18Evesham United175111-1616
19Gloucester City14365-315
20Bracknell Town174310-1815
21Malvern Town164210-1714
22Havant & Wville163310-1312

More Non League Premier Southern South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?

On our numbers Chertsey Town have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Berkhamsted 31%.

How many goals will there be in Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?

Our predicted score is Chertsey Town 1–1 Berkhamsted, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?

Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.