Bath City 62%Draw 22%Malvern Town 16%Expected goals 2.22 – 1.09
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultBath City to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceBath City or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Bath City vs Malvern Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 29 September the Non League Premier Southern South brings Bath City against Malvern Town at Twerton Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bath City are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Malvern Town are 21st (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bath City, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Plymouth Parkway, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Malvern Town, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mickleover Sports, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bath City, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Malvern Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bath City 2.2 xG, Malvern Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bath City 62%, draw 22%, Malvern Town 16%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bath City 2–1 Malvern Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bath City62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.90
Malvern Town16%fair 6.15 · @5.80
3.31Expected goals
2.22Bath City xG
1.09Malvern Town xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bath City 2.2 – 1.1 Malvern Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bath City to win✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Bath City or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Draw no bet
Bath City (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Bath City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Bath City to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Bath City ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bath City / FT Bath City✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Bath City – last 6
WWWLLL
26 Sep
@ Plymouth Parkway
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Taunton Town
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Chippenham Town
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Weymouth
0–2
L
31 Aug
@ Frome Town
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Uxbridge
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Malvern Town – last 6
DWLDLL
26 Sep
@ Mickleover Sports
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Gloucester City
5–2
W
12 Sep
@ Chertsey Town
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs Redditch United
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Chippenham Town
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Gosport Borough
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bath City and Malvern Town.
What is the prediction for Bath City vs Malvern Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bath City vs Malvern Town?
On our numbers Bath City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Malvern Town 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bath City vs Malvern Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bath City vs Malvern Town?
Our predicted score is Bath City 2–1 Malvern Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Bath City vs Malvern Town?
Bath City vs Malvern Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Twerton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
