Gloucester City 58%Draw 19%Plymouth Parkway 23%Expected goals 2.18 – 1.32
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Gloucester City to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGloucester City to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Plymouth Parkway travel to face Gloucester City on Tuesday 29 September in the Non League Premier Southern South – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Gloucester City are 19th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Plymouth Parkway are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gloucester City, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Stafford Rangers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Plymouth Parkway, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bath City, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Plymouth Parkway, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Gloucester City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gloucester City 2.2 xG, Plymouth Parkway 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gloucester City 58%, draw 19%, Plymouth Parkway 23%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Gloucester City to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gloucester City 2–1 Plymouth Parkway. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gloucester City58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.50
Plymouth Parkway23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
3.50Expected goals
2.18Gloucester City xG
1.32Plymouth Parkway xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gloucester City 2.2 – 1.3 Plymouth Parkway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gloucester City to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
Gloucester City (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Plymouth Parkway +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Gloucester City to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Gloucester City ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gloucester City / FT Gloucester City✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Gloucester City – last 6
WLWDDL
26 Sep
vs Stafford Rangers
4–0
W
22 Sep
@ Malvern Town
2–5
L
19 Sep
@ AFC Totton
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Basingstoke Town
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Mangotsfield United
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Evesham United
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Plymouth Parkway – last 6
LWWWWW
26 Sep
vs Bath City
0–3
L
22 Sep
vs Frome Town
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Frome Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Sholing
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Gosport Borough
3–1
W
31 Aug
vs Poole Town
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gloucester City and Plymouth Parkway.
What is the prediction for Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
On our numbers Gloucester City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Plymouth Parkway 23%.
How many goals will there be in Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our predicted score is Gloucester City 2–1 Plymouth Parkway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
