Chertsey Town 43%Draw 22%Poole Town 36%Expected goals 1.68 – 1.52
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Poole Town to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChertsey Town to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Chertsey Town v Poole Town in the Non League Premier Southern South. In the table, Chertsey Town are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Poole Town are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chertsey Town, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Welling United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Poole Town, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Basingstoke Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Poole Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Chertsey Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chertsey Town 1.7 xG, Poole Town 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chertsey Town 43%, draw 22%, Poole Town 36%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Poole Town to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chertsey Town 1–1 Poole Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chertsey Town43%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Poole Town36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
3.20Expected goals
1.68Chertsey Town xG
1.52Poole Town xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chertsey Town 1.7 – 1.5 Poole Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chertsey Town to win✗
43%
2.35
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Chertsey Town (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Poole Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Chertsey Town to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertsey Town / FT Chertsey Town✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Chertsey Town – last 6
DDWWDL
26 Sep
@ Welling United
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Chichester City
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Greenwich Borough
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Malvern Town
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Carshalton Athletic
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Hanworth Villa
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Poole Town – last 6
WWLLWW
26 Sep
vs Basingstoke Town
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Havant & Wville
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Bishop's Cleeve
1–2
L
31 Aug
@ Plymouth Parkway
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Yate Town
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Berkhamsted
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertsey Town and Poole Town.
What is the prediction for Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
On our numbers Chertsey Town have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Poole Town 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
Our predicted score is Chertsey Town 1–1 Poole Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Chertsey Town vs Poole Town?
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
