Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeça to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceLeça or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Leça vs São João Ver: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leça welcome São João Ver to Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 9 August (17:30 WAT). In the table, Leça are 2nd, among the top four, on 14 points after 9 matches; São João Ver are 9th (upper half) with 9.
Current form
Leça, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lusitânia Lourosa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
São João Ver, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tondela, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leça 1.3 xG, São João Ver 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leça 40%, draw 37%, São João Ver 23%.
Lower-risk option: Leça or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leça 1–0 São João Ver. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leça40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
Draw37%fair 2.68 · @3.20
São João Ver23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
2.25Expected goals
1.35Leça xG
0.90São João Ver xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–19%
From our goals model: Leça 1.3 – 0.9 São João Ver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leça to win✗
40%
2.50
2.10
Double chance
Leça or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Leça (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
São João Ver +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Leça to score first✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leça / FT Leça✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Leça – last 6
DLDWLW
29 Jul
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–4
L
10 Jun
vs Vitória de Sernache
1–1
D
31 May
vs Bragança
1–0
W
22 May
@ Rebordosa
1–2
L
17 May
@ Vianense
4–3
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
São João Ver – last 6
DLWWDL
29 Jul
@ Tondela
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ SC Braga
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Fafe
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Paredes
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs SC Braga B
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leça and São João Ver.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leça vs São João Ver?
On our numbers Leça have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 37% and São João Ver 23%.
How many goals will there be in Leça vs São João Ver?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leça vs São João Ver?
Our predicted score is Leça 1–0 São João Ver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leça vs São João Ver?
Leça vs São João Ver (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
