Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVarzim to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Trofense vs Varzim: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 9 August: Trofense v Varzim in the Liga 3. In the table, Trofense are 10th, upper half, on 5 points after 9 matches; Varzim are 6th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Trofense, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AVS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Varzim, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tirsense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trofense 1.2 xG, Varzim 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trofense 33%, draw 26%, Varzim 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trofense 1–1 Varzim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trofense33%fair 3.04 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.00
Varzim41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
2.73Expected goals
1.21Trofense xG
1.53Varzim xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Trofense 1.2 – 1.5 Varzim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varzim to win✓
41%
2.42
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Varzim (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Trofense +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Varzim to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varzim / FT Varzim✓
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Trofense – last 6
DDLWLD
31 Jul
@ AVS
1–1
D
1 May
vs Amarante
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Guimaraes B
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Amarante
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Mafra
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Varzim – last 4
WLLL
29 Jul
@ Tirsense
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ Tondela
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Mafra
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Mafra
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trofense and Varzim.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Trofense vs Varzim?
On our numbers Trofense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Varzim 41%.
How many goals will there be in Trofense vs Varzim?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trofense vs Varzim?
Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 Varzim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Trofense vs Varzim?
Trofense vs Varzim (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
