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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Louletano v CF Os Belenenses: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
1–3
FT
Louletano 29%Draw 23%CF Os Belenenses 48% Expected goals 0.56 – 0.90
85%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 69% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓48% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.79

Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Louletano v CF Os Belenenses in the Liga 3. In the table, Louletano are 6th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; CF Os Belenenses are 1st (leading the league) with 21.

Current form

Louletano, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oliveirense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

CF Os Belenenses, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Caldas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Louletano, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for CF Os Belenenses.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Louletano 0.6 xG, CF Os Belenenses 0.9 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Louletano 29%, draw 23%, CF Os Belenenses 48%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 69%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louletano 0–0 CF Os Belenenses. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Louletano29%fair 3.48 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
CF Os Belenenses48%fair 2.06 · @2.33
1.46Expected goals
0.56Louletano xG
0.90CF Os Belenenses xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–023%
0–121%
1–013%
1–112%
0–29%
1–25%

From our goals model: Louletano 0.6 – 0.9 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓48%2.062.33 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.80
Draw no betCF Os Belenenses (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapLouletano +1 (Asian handicap) ✗80%1.26–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓55%1.811.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.441.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85%1.171.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreCF Os Belenenses to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗58%1.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗30%3.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21%4.79–

Recent results

Louletano – last 6

DDDWWW
8 Aug@ Oliveirense0–0D
31 May@ Vitória de Sernache1–1D
17 Mayvs Atlético Malveira1–1D
22 Mar@ Comércio Indústria4–1W
15 Marvs FC Serpa2–1W
1 Marvs Oriental Lisboa2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CF Os Belenenses – last 6

WDLLDD
8 Augvs Caldas1–0W
31 Julvs Estoril1–1D
24 Jul@ Benfica1–5L
17 Jul@ Alverca1–2L
30 Mayvs Farense0–0D
2 Mayvs União Santarém1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Louletano and CF Os Belenenses.

Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?

On our numbers Louletano have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CF Os Belenenses 48%.

How many goals will there be in Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?

Our predicted score is Louletano 0–0 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses?

Louletano vs CF Os Belenenses (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.