Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPacos Ferreira to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chancePacos Ferreira or draw ✗84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the Liga 3 brings Pacos Ferreira against Paredes. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Pacos Ferreira are 8th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Paredes are 1st (leading the league) with 22.
Current form
Pacos Ferreira, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AD Marco 09, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Paredes, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Guimaraes B, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Paredes, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Pacos Ferreira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pacos Ferreira 2.0 xG, Paredes 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pacos Ferreira 60%, draw 24%, Paredes 16%.
Lower-risk option: Pacos Ferreira or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pacos Ferreira 2–0 Paredes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pacos Ferreira60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.35
Paredes16%fair 6.30 · @4.40
2.99Expected goals
2.03Pacos Ferreira xG
0.97Paredes xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 2.0 – 1.0 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pacos Ferreira to win✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Pacos Ferreira or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Pacos Ferreira (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Pacos Ferreira -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Pacos Ferreira to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Pacos Ferreira ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pacos Ferreira / FT Pacos Ferreira✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
LDLWLL
9 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs AVS
0–2
L
17 May
vs Penafiel
2–1
W
3 May
vs Feirense
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paredes – last 6
WWWLLL
7 Aug
vs Guimaraes B
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
4–2
W
22 Jul
@ AVS
4–2
W
18 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Fafe
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ São João Ver
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Paredes.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paredes 16%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 2–0 Paredes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?
Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
