Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuimaraes B to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceGuimaraes B or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Guimaraes B vs Leça: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guimaraes B welcome Leça to Academia Vitoria SC for a Liga 3 fixture on Saturday 15 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Guimaraes B are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Leça are 2nd (among the top four) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guimaraes B, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Paredes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Leça, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with São João Ver, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guimaraes B 1.9 xG, Leça 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guimaraes B 60%, draw 24%, Leça 15%.
Lower-risk option: Guimaraes B or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guimaraes B 2–0 Leça. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guimaraes B60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.35
Leça15%fair 6.53 · @4.40
2.74Expected goals
1.89Guimaraes B xG
0.86Leça xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Guimaraes B 1.9 – 0.9 Leça expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guimaraes B to win✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Guimaraes B or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Guimaraes B (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Guimaraes B -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Guimaraes B to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Guimaraes B ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guimaraes B / FT Guimaraes B✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Guimaraes B – last 6
LWLDWL
7 Aug
@ Paredes
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Chaves
3–2
W
3 May
vs Mafra
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs União Santarém
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Academica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Amarante
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Leça – last 6
DDLDWL
9 Aug
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–4
L
10 Jun
vs Vitória de Sernache
1–1
D
31 May
vs Bragança
1–0
W
22 May
@ Rebordosa
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guimaraes B and Leça.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Leça?
On our numbers Guimaraes B have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leça 15%.
How many goals will there be in Guimaraes B vs Leça?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guimaraes B vs Leça?
Our predicted score is Guimaraes B 2–0 Leça, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Guimaraes B vs Leça?
Guimaraes B vs Leça (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
