Leça welcome Fafe to Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 6 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Leça are 2nd, among the top four, on 14 points after 9 matches; Fafe are 4th (among the top four) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leça, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Paredes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Fafe, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pacos Ferreira, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fafe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Leça.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leça 0.9 xG, Fafe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leça 31%, draw 24%, Fafe 45%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leça 1–1 Fafe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leça31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Fafe45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
2.17Expected goals
0.95Leça xG
1.22Fafe xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Leça 0.9 – 1.2 Fafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✓
45%
2.23
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Fafe (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Leça +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Fafe to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fafe / FT Fafe✓
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Leça – last 6
WLDDLD
23 Aug
@ Paredes
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Guimaraes B
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–4
L
10 Jun
vs Vitória de Sernache
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fafe – last 6
DDWDWL
29 Aug
@ Pacos Ferreira
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Guimaraes B
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ São João Ver
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Vianense
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Maria da Fonte
2–0
W
15 Jul
@ Chaves
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leça and Fafe.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Leça vs Fafe?
On our numbers Leça have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fafe 45%.
How many goals will there be in Leça vs Fafe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leça vs Fafe?
Our predicted score is Leça 1–1 Fafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leça vs Fafe?
Leça vs Fafe (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
