Value bet: AD Marco 09 to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAD Marco 09 to win ✗43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
São João Ver vs AD Marco 09: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: São João Ver v AD Marco 09 in the Liga 3. In the table, São João Ver are 9th, upper half, on 9 points after 9 matches; AD Marco 09 are 3rd (among the top four) with 14.
Current form
São João Ver, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Florgrade, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
AD Marco 09, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Régua, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AD Marco 09, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for São João Ver.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended AD Marco 09 2–1 São João Ver.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São João Ver 1.1 xG, AD Marco 09 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São João Ver 31%, draw 26%, AD Marco 09 43%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: AD Marco 09 to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: São João Ver 1–1 AD Marco 09. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São João Ver31%fair 3.19 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.70
AD Marco 0943%fair 2.34 · @2.75
2.50Expected goals
1.13São João Ver xG
1.37AD Marco 09 xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: São João Ver 1.1 – 1.4 AD Marco 09 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
On our numbers São João Ver have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AD Marco 09 43%.
How many goals will there be in São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
Our predicted score is São João Ver 1–1 AD Marco 09, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is São João Ver vs AD Marco 09?
São João Ver vs AD Marco 09 (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
