Vitória de Sernache 14%Draw 25%CF Os Belenenses 62%Expected goals 1.06 – 2.27
62%
Betarazi pick
CF Os Belenenses to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vitória de Sernache welcome CF Os Belenenses for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 6 September (14:30 WAT). In the table, Vitória de Sernache are 8th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; CF Os Belenenses are 1st (leading the league) with 21. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vitória de Sernache, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Nazarenos, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
CF Os Belenenses, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lusitano Évora 1911, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours CF Os Belenenses, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Vitória de Sernache.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitória de Sernache 1.1 xG, CF Os Belenenses 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitória de Sernache 14%, draw 25%, CF Os Belenenses 62%.
Lower-risk option: CF Os Belenenses or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CF Os Belenenses to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitória de Sernache 1–2 CF Os Belenenses. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitória de Sernache14%fair 7.35 · @5.00
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
CF Os Belenenses62%fair 1.62 · @1.62
3.33Expected goals
1.06Vitória de Sernache xG
2.27CF Os Belenenses xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Vitória de Sernache 1.1 – 2.3 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Double chance
CF Os Belenenses or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
CF Os Belenenses (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
CF Os Belenenses -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
CF Os Belenenses to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
CF Os Belenenses ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
WLDLDD
30 Aug
@ Nazarenos
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Oliveirense
2–3
L
16 Aug
vs SC Covilha
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Mafra
0–5
L
10 Jun
@ Leça
1–1
D
31 May
vs Louletano
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CF Os Belenenses – last 6
WWWWDL
30 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs União Santarém
5–0
W
15 Aug
@ Louletano
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Caldas
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Estoril
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Benfica
1–5
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória de Sernache and CF Os Belenenses.
What is the prediction for Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our pick is CF Os Belenenses to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
On our numbers Vitória de Sernache have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CF Os Belenenses 62%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our predicted score is Vitória de Sernache 1–2 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses?
Vitória de Sernache vs CF Os Belenenses (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
