Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMafra to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceMafra or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Mafra vs SC Covilha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Mafra v SC Covilha in the Liga 3, played at Estadio Municipal de Mafra. In the table, Mafra are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; SC Covilha are 9th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Mafra, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atlético Malveira, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
SC Covilha, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mortágua, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mafra 1.7 xG, SC Covilha 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mafra 59%, draw 23%, SC Covilha 18%.
Lower-risk option: Mafra or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mafra or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mafra 1–0 SC Covilha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mafra59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
SC Covilha18%fair 5.58 · @4.40
2.50Expected goals
1.70Mafra xG
0.80SC Covilha xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mafra 1.7 – 0.8 SC Covilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Double chance
Mafra or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Mafra (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
SC Covilha +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Mafra to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Mafra – last 6
DLDWWL
29 Aug
@ Atlético Malveira
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
5–0
W
25 Jul
vs Alverca
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ FC Fredericia
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SC Covilha – last 6
DLDWDW
30 Aug
vs Mortágua
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–3
L
16 Aug
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs União Santarém
2–0
W
1 May
vs Amora
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Caldas
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mafra and SC Covilha.
Our pick is Mafra or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mafra vs SC Covilha?
On our numbers Mafra have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SC Covilha 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mafra vs SC Covilha?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mafra vs SC Covilha?
Our predicted score is Mafra 1–0 SC Covilha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mafra vs SC Covilha?
Mafra vs SC Covilha (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
