Guimaraes B 61%Draw 26%Trofense 13%Expected goals 1.48 – 0.52
87%
Betarazi pick
Guimaraes B or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Guimaraes B to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuimaraes B to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceGuimaraes B or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.99
Guimaraes B vs Trofense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trofense travel to face Guimaraes B on Saturday 5 September in the Liga 3, with Academia Vitoria SC the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Guimaraes B are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Trofense are 10th (upper half) with 5.
Current form
Guimaraes B, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fafe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Trofense, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Varzim, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Guimaraes B 1–2 Trofense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guimaraes B 1.5 xG, Trofense 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guimaraes B 61%, draw 26%, Trofense 13%.
Lower-risk option: Guimaraes B or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Guimaraes B to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guimaraes B or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guimaraes B 1–0 Trofense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guimaraes B61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.20
Trofense13%fair 7.66 · @4.40
2.00Expected goals
1.48Guimaraes B xG
0.52Trofense xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guimaraes B 1.5 – 0.5 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
Our pick is Guimaraes B or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
On our numbers Guimaraes B have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Trofense 13%.
How many goals will there be in Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Guimaraes B 1–0 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
Guimaraes B vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
