Varzim vs Paredes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Varzim welcome Paredes for a Liga 3 fixture on Saturday 5 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Varzim are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Paredes are 1st (leading the league) with 22.
Current form
Varzim, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Trofense, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Paredes, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ermesinde, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Varzim 1.5 xG, Paredes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Varzim 42%, draw 25%, Paredes 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varzim 1–1 Paredes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Varzim42%fair 2.41 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Paredes34%fair 2.97 · @2.90
2.83Expected goals
1.50Varzim xG
1.33Paredes xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Varzim 1.5 – 1.3 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varzim to win✗
42%
2.41
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Varzim (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Paredes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Varzim to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varzim / FT Varzim✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Varzim – last 6
WWWWWL
29 Aug
vs Trofense
5–1
W
22 Aug
@ Pacos Ferreira
4–1
W
16 Aug
vs AD Marco 09
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Trofense
1–0
W
29 Jul
@ Tirsense
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ Tondela
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paredes – last 6
WLWWWW
30 Aug
@ Ermesinde
3–1
W
23 Aug
vs Leça
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Pacos Ferreira
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Guimaraes B
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
4–2
W
22 Jul
@ AVS
4–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varzim and Paredes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Varzim vs Paredes?
On our numbers Varzim have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paredes 34%.
How many goals will there be in Varzim vs Paredes?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varzim vs Paredes?
Our predicted score is Varzim 1–1 Paredes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Varzim vs Paredes?
Varzim vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
