Caldas 49%Draw 24%Vitória de Sernache 26%Expected goals 1.63 – 1.12
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaldas to win ✓49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Liga 3 brings Caldas against Vitória de Sernache at Campo da Mata. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Caldas are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Vitória de Sernache are 8th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Caldas, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over União Santarém, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Vitória de Sernache, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CF Os Belenenses, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caldas 1.6 xG, Vitória de Sernache 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caldas 49%, draw 24%, Vitória de Sernache 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldas 1–1 Vitória de Sernache. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caldas49%fair 2.03 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Vitória de Sernache26%fair 3.80 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.63Caldas xG
1.12Vitória de Sernache xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Caldas 1.6 – 1.1 Vitória de Sernache expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldas to win✓
49%
2.03
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Caldas (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Vitória de Sernache +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Caldas to score first✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caldas / FT Caldas✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Caldas – last 6
WLLDLD
4 Sep
@ União Santarém
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sintrense
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Louletano
2–4
L
16 Aug
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Academica
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
LWLDLD
6 Sep
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Nazarenos
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Oliveirense
2–3
L
16 Aug
vs SC Covilha
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Mafra
0–5
L
10 Jun
@ Leça
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldas and Vitória de Sernache.
What is the prediction for Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
On our numbers Caldas have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vitória de Sernache 26%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our predicted score is Caldas 1–1 Vitória de Sernache, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache?
Caldas vs Vitória de Sernache (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
