Value bet: São João Ver to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPacos Ferreira to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Liga 3 brings Pacos Ferreira against São João Ver. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Pacos Ferreira are 8th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; São João Ver are 9th (upper half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pacos Ferreira, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vianense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
São João Ver, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AD Marco 09, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pacos Ferreira 1.3 xG, São João Ver 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pacos Ferreira 42%, draw 23%, São João Ver 35%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: São João Ver to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pacos Ferreira 1–1 São João Ver. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pacos Ferreira42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
São João Ver35%fair 2.86 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.33Pacos Ferreira xG
1.17São João Ver xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.3 – 1.2 São João Ver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pacos Ferreira to win✗
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Pacos Ferreira (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
São João Ver +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pacos Ferreira to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pacos Ferreira / FT Pacos Ferreira✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
DDLLLD
5 Sep
@ Vianense
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Fafe
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Varzim
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Paredes
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
São João Ver – last 6
DDLLDD
6 Sep
vs AD Marco 09
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Florgrade
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Trofense
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Fafe
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Leça
1–1
D
29 Jul
@ Tondela
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and São João Ver.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and São João Ver 35%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 1–1 São João Ver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver?
Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
