Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultMafra to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Caldas vs Mafra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Caldas v Mafra in the Liga 3, played at Campo da Mata. In the table, Caldas are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Mafra are 5th (upper half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Caldas, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Atlético CP, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mafra, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Santa Clara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caldas 1.2 xG, Mafra 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caldas 32%, draw 24%, Mafra 44%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldas 1–1 Mafra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caldas32%fair 3.16 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Mafra44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
2.75Expected goals
1.24Caldas xG
1.51Mafra xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Caldas 1.2 – 1.5 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✗
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Mafra (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Caldas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Mafra to score first✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Caldas – last 6
LWWLLD
11 Oct
@ Atlético CP
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Vitória de Sernache
2–0
W
4 Sep
@ União Santarém
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sintrense
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Louletano
2–4
L
16 Aug
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mafra – last 6
DDDLWD
18 Oct
vs Santa Clara
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs CF Os Belenenses
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tirsense
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Oliveirense
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs SC Covilha
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Atlético Malveira
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldas and Mafra.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Caldas vs Mafra?
On our numbers Caldas have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mafra 44%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Caldas 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs Mafra?
Caldas vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
