Value bet: Oliveirense to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLusitano Évora 1911 to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.63
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oliveirense travel to face Lusitano Évora 1911 on Saturday 24 October in the Liga 3, with Campo Estrela the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Oliveirense are 3rd (among the top four) with 13.
Current form
Lusitano Évora 1911, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to União Santarém, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Oliveirense, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SC Covilha, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Oliveirense, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Lusitano Évora 1911.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitano Évora 1911 1.2 xG, Oliveirense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitano Évora 1911 44%, draw 23%, Oliveirense 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Oliveirense to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitano Évora 1911 1–1 Oliveirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitano Évora 191144%fair 2.28 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Oliveirense33%fair 3.00 · @3.40
2.17Expected goals
1.19Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
0.98Oliveirense xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lusitano Évora 1911 1.2 – 1.0 Oliveirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✗
44%
2.28
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.95
Draw no bet
Lusitano Évora 1911 (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Oliveirense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Lusitano Évora 1911 to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitano Évora 1911 / FT Lusitano Évora 1911✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.63
–
Recent results
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
LDLLWD
9 Oct
@ União Santarém
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs SC Covilha
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Louletano
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Mafra
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Caldas
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oliveirense – last 6
DLWLWW
10 Oct
@ SC Covilha
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Penafiel
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Mafra
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético CP
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Penalva Castelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vitória de Sernache
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and Oliveirense.
What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
On our numbers Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oliveirense 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
Our predicted score is Lusitano Évora 1911 1–1 Oliveirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense?
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Oliveirense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Estrela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
