Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultParedes to win ✓64% · @1.44
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Paredes vs Trofense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Paredes v Trofense in the Liga 3, played at Municipal das Laranjeiras. In the table, Paredes are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 9 matches; Trofense are 10th (upper half) with 5. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paredes, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Famalicao, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Trofense, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fafe, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Paredes, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Trofense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paredes 1.8 xG, Trofense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paredes 64%, draw 19%, Trofense 17%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paredes to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paredes 1–0 Trofense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paredes64%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.00
Trofense17%fair 6.01 · @6.00
2.58Expected goals
1.82Paredes xG
0.76Trofense xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Paredes 1.8 – 0.8 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paredes to win✓
64%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
Paredes or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
Paredes (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Paredes -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Paredes to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Paredes ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paredes / FT Paredes✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Paredes – last 6
WDWWWW
18 Oct
vs Famalicao
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Vianense
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Maria da Fonte
5–1
W
13 Sep
vs Fafe
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Varzim
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Ermesinde
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trofense – last 6
DLDLWL
11 Oct
@ Fafe
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Leça
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Guimaraes B
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Varzim
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs São João Ver
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Vianense
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paredes and Trofense.
Our pick is Paredes to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paredes vs Trofense?
On our numbers Paredes have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Trofense 17%.
How many goals will there be in Paredes vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paredes vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Paredes 1–0 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Paredes vs Trofense?
Paredes vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
