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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SC Covilha v Caldas: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
0–1
FT

Caldas

DLWWL
SC Covilha 39%Draw 25%Caldas 36% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.14
50%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 2.00 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultSC Covilha to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.72

SC Covilha vs Caldas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

SC Covilha welcome Caldas for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 1 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, SC Covilha are 9th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Caldas are 7th (upper half) with 11.

Current form

SC Covilha, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CF Os Belenenses, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Caldas, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Mafra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Caldas, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for SC Covilha.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended SC Covilha 1–0 Caldas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SC Covilha 1.2 xG, Caldas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – SC Covilha 39%, draw 25%, Caldas 36%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Covilha 1–0 Caldas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SC Covilha39%fair 2.54 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Caldas36%fair 2.79 · @2.90
2.36Expected goals
1.22SC Covilha xG
1.14Caldas xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: SC Covilha 1.2 – 1.1 Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSC Covilha to win ✗39%2.542.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.85
Draw no betSC Covilha (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapCaldas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSC Covilha to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT SC Covilha / FT SC Covilha ✗22%4.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.72–

Recent results

SC Covilha – last 6

DDDLDL
25 Oct@ CF Os Belenenses1–1D
10 Octvs Oliveirense0–0D
12 Sep@ Lusitano Évora 19112–2D
5 Sep@ Mafra0–1L
30 Augvs Mortágua0–0D
22 Augvs Atlético CP0–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Caldas – last 6

DLWWLL
24 Octvs Mafra3–3D
11 Oct@ Atlético CP1–4L
13 Sepvs Vitória de Sernache2–0W
4 Sep@ União Santarém1–0W
30 Augvs Sintrense1–3L
23 Augvs Louletano2–4L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026SC Covilha v Caldas1–0
SC Covilha vs Caldas head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Covilha vs Caldas?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win SC Covilha vs Caldas?

On our numbers SC Covilha have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Caldas 36%.

How many goals will there be in SC Covilha vs Caldas?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SC Covilha vs Caldas?

Our predicted score is SC Covilha 1–0 Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is SC Covilha vs Caldas?

SC Covilha vs Caldas (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.