Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultLusitano Évora 1911 to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceLusitano Évora 1911 or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lusitano Évora 1911 welcome Vitória de Sernache for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 1 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Vitória de Sernache are 8th (upper half) with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lusitano Évora 1911, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Oliveirense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Vitória de Sernache, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to União Santarém, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vitória de Sernache, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Lusitano Évora 1911.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitano Évora 1911 1.8 xG, Vitória de Sernache 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitano Évora 1911 62%, draw 22%, Vitória de Sernache 16%.
Lower-risk option: Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lusitano Évora 1911 to win (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 Vitória de Sernache. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitano Évora 191162%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Vitória de Sernache16%fair 6.28 · @4.33
2.57Expected goals
1.80Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
0.77Vitória de Sernache xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lusitano Évora 1911 1.8 – 0.8 Vitória de Sernache expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✗
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.91
Draw no bet
Lusitano Évora 1911 (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Lusitano Évora 1911 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Lusitano Évora 1911 to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Lusitano Évora 1911 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitano Évora 1911 / FT Lusitano Évora 1911✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
DLDLLW
24 Oct
vs Oliveirense
2–2
D
9 Oct
@ União Santarém
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs SC Covilha
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Louletano
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Mafra
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
LWWWLL
25 Oct
@ União Santarém
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Brito
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Louletano
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Varzim
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Caldas
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and Vitória de Sernache.
What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our pick is Lusitano Évora 1911 to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
On our numbers Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vitória de Sernache 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our predicted score is Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 Vitória de Sernache, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
