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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paredes v São João Ver: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Municipal das Laranjeiras

Paredes

WWDWW
2–1
FT
Paredes 66%Draw 20%São João Ver 14% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.76
66%
Betarazi pick

Paredes to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultParedes to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.40

Paredes vs São João Ver: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 November the Liga 3 brings Paredes against São João Ver at Municipal das Laranjeiras. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Paredes are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 9 matches; São João Ver are 9th (upper half) with 9. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Paredes, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Trofense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

São João Ver, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vianense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Paredes, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for São João Ver.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended São João Ver 3–1 Paredes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paredes 1.9 xG, São João Ver 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paredes 66%, draw 20%, São João Ver 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Paredes or draw (86%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Paredes to win (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paredes 1–0 São João Ver. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paredes66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
São João Ver14%fair 7.11 · @5.00
2.71Expected goals
1.95Paredes xG
0.76São João Ver xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Paredes 1.9 – 0.8 São João Ver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParedes to win ✓66%1.521.57
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓86%1.161.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.85
Draw no betParedes (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapParedes -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreParedes to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultParedes ahead at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paredes / FT Paredes ✓42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.40–

Recent results

Paredes – last 6

WWDWWW
24 Octvs Trofense4–0W
18 Octvs Famalicao1–0W
10 Oct@ Vianense3–3D
20 Sepvs Maria da Fonte5–1W
13 Sepvs Fafe2–1W
5 Sep@ Varzim1–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

São João Ver – last 6

WWDDDL
25 Oct@ Vianense3–1W
11 Octvs Varzim2–1W
13 Sep@ Pacos Ferreira1–1D
6 Sepvs AD Marco 090–0D
30 Aug@ Florgrade0–0D
22 Aug@ Trofense0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026São João Ver v Paredes3–1
Paredes vs São João Ver head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paredes vs São João Ver?

Our pick is Paredes to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Paredes vs São João Ver?

On our numbers Paredes have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and São João Ver 14%.

How many goals will there be in Paredes vs São João Ver?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paredes vs São João Ver?

Our predicted score is Paredes 1–0 São João Ver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Paredes vs São João Ver?

Paredes vs São João Ver (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.