Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeça to win ✓42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Leça vs Varzim: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Varzim travel to face Leça on Saturday 31 October in the Liga 3, with Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Leça are 2nd, among the top four, on 14 points after 9 matches; Varzim are 6th (upper half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leça, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pacos Ferreira, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Varzim, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Guimaraes B, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leça, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Varzim.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leça 1.5 xG, Varzim 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leça 42%, draw 23%, Varzim 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leça 1–1 Varzim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leça42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Varzim35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
2.86Expected goals
1.50Leça xG
1.36Varzim xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Leça 1.5 – 1.4 Varzim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leça to win✓
42%
2.39
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Draw no bet
Leça (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Varzim +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Leça to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leça / FT Leça✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Leça – last 6
LWWWWL
23 Oct
@ Pacos Ferreira
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Penafiel
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs AD Marco 09
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Mortágua
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Trofense
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Fafe
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Varzim – last 6
LLLLLW
25 Oct
vs Guimaraes B
2–4
L
11 Oct
@ São João Ver
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Vitória de Sernache
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Vianense
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Paredes
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Trofense
5–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leça and Varzim.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Leça vs Varzim?
On our numbers Leça have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Varzim 35%.
How many goals will there be in Leça vs Varzim?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leça vs Varzim?
Our predicted score is Leça 1–1 Varzim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Leça vs Varzim?
Leça vs Varzim (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
