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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Trofense v AD Marco 09: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
0–2
FT
Trofense 29%Draw 25%AD Marco 09 46% Expected goals 0.84 – 1.16
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultAD Marco 09 to win ✓46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.08

Trofense vs AD Marco 09: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Trofense v AD Marco 09 in the Liga 3. In the table, Trofense are 10th, upper half, on 5 points after 9 matches; AD Marco 09 are 3rd (among the top four) with 14.

Current form

Trofense, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Paredes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

AD Marco 09, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fafe, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trofense 0.8 xG, AD Marco 09 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Trofense 29%, draw 25%, AD Marco 09 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trofense 1–1 AD Marco 09. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trofense29%fair 3.41 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
AD Marco 0946%fair 2.18 · @2.20
2.00Expected goals
0.84Trofense xG
1.16AD Marco 09 xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Trofense 0.8 – 1.2 AD Marco 09 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAD Marco 09 to win ✓46%2.182.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.942.00
Draw no betAD Marco 09 (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapTrofense +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreAD Marco 09 to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT AD Marco 09 / FT AD Marco 09 ✓25%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.08–

Recent results

Trofense – last 6

LDLDLW
24 Oct@ Paredes0–4L
11 Oct@ Fafe2–2D
12 Sepvs Leça1–4L
5 Sep@ Guimaraes B0–0D
29 Aug@ Varzim1–5L
22 Augvs São João Ver1–0W
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AD Marco 09 – last 6

DLLWWD
25 Octvs Fafe0–0D
17 Oct@ Farense0–3L
10 Oct@ Leça0–2L
20 Sepvs Maia Lidador1–0W
12 Sepvs Guimaraes B1–0W
6 Sep@ São João Ver0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Trofense and AD Marco 09.

Trofense vs AD Marco 09 head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

On our numbers Trofense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AD Marco 09 46%.

How many goals will there be in Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 AD Marco 09, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Trofense vs AD Marco 09?

Trofense vs AD Marco 09 (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.