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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mafra v Louletano: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Estadio Municipal de Mafra

Mafra

DDDDL
2–1
FT
Mafra 61%Draw 25%Louletano 14% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.96
61%
Betarazi pick

Mafra to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultMafra to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceMafra or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08

Mafra vs Louletano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Louletano travel to face Mafra on Saturday 31 October in the Liga 3, with Estadio Municipal de Mafra the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Mafra are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Louletano are 6th (upper half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mafra, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Caldas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Louletano, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atlético CP, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mafra 2.1 xG, Louletano 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mafra 61%, draw 25%, Louletano 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mafra or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mafra to win (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mafra 2–0 Louletano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mafra61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
Louletano14%fair 7.30 · @4.60
3.07Expected goals
2.11Mafra xG
0.96Louletano xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Mafra 2.1 – 1.0 Louletano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMafra to win ✓61%1.641.67
Double chanceMafra or draw ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.85
Draw no betMafra (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapMafra -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to scoreMafra to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultMafra ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mafra / FT Mafra ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.08–

Recent results

Mafra – last 6

DDDDLW
24 Oct@ Caldas3–3D
18 Octvs Santa Clara2–2D
11 Octvs CF Os Belenenses2–2D
19 Sepvs Tirsense1–1D
12 Sep@ Oliveirense1–2L
5 Sepvs SC Covilha1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Louletano – last 6

DLLDLW
25 Octvs Atlético CP2–2D
17 Octvs Rio Ave0–1L
10 Oct@ Vitória de Sernache0–1L
20 Sep@ FC Serpa1–1D
12 Sepvs União Santarém1–2L
6 Sepvs Lusitano Évora 19111–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mafra and Louletano.

Mafra vs Louletano head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mafra vs Louletano?

Our pick is Mafra to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Mafra vs Louletano?

On our numbers Mafra have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Louletano 14%.

How many goals will there be in Mafra vs Louletano?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mafra vs Louletano?

Our predicted score is Mafra 2–0 Louletano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Mafra vs Louletano?

Mafra vs Louletano (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.