Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.86
Joinville vs Barra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barra travel to face Joinville on Saturday 26 September in the Copa Santa Catarina, with Arena Joinville the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Joinville, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Nação, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Barra, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Nação, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Joinville 1.6 xG, Barra 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Joinville 40%, draw 22%, Barra 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Joinville 2–1 Barra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Joinville40%fair 2.52 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Barra39%fair 2.58 · @2.60
3.13Expected goals
1.57Joinville xG
1.55Barra xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Joinville 1.6 – 1.6 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Joinville to win✓
40%
2.52
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Joinville (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Barra +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Joinville to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Joinville / FT Joinville✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Joinville – last 6
WLWLLW
19 Sep
@ Nação
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs Hercílio Luz
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Blumenau
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Marcílio Dias
2–4
L
7 Jun
@ São Luiz
1–3
L
30 May
vs Guarany de Bagé
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
DDDWLW
23 Sep
vs Nação
3–3
D
15 Sep
vs Blumenau
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Figueirense
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Volta Redonda
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Maringá
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs AO Itabaiana
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Joinville and Barra.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Joinville vs Barra?
On our numbers Joinville have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barra 39%.
How many goals will there be in Joinville vs Barra?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Joinville vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Joinville 2–1 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Joinville vs Barra?
Joinville vs Barra (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Joinville.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Blumenau1
Marcílio Dias1
Hercílio Luz2
Nação1