Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAscoli to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Ascoli vs Carrarese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Ascoli v Carrarese in the Serie B, played at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. In the table, Ascoli are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Carrarese are 17th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Ascoli, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hellas Verona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Carrarese, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mantova, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ascoli, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Carrarese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ascoli 1.6 xG, Carrarese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ascoli 51%, draw 23%, Carrarese 26%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ascoli51%fair 1.95 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Carrarese26%fair 3.86 · @3.80
2.64Expected goals
1.60Ascoli xG
1.05Carrarese xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.6 – 1.0 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Ascoli (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Carrarese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.05
First team to score
Ascoli to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Ascoli – last 6
WLWLLW
23 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Genoa
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Potenza
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Frosinone
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Union Brescia
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Carrarese – last 6
LLWLLD
22 Aug
vs Mantova
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Torino
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Napoli
0–2
L
8 May
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
1 May
vs Cesena
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascoli and Carrarese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ascoli vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carrarese 26%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Carrarese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Carrarese?
Ascoli vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
