Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Padova to win @ 2.80 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPadova to win ✗43% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.86
Padova vs Hellas Verona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Padova v Hellas Verona in the Serie B, played at Stadio Euganeo. In the table, Padova are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Hellas Verona are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Padova, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pisa, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Hellas Verona, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ascoli, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Momentum favours Hellas Verona, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Padova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Padova 1.2 xG, Hellas Verona 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Padova 43%, draw 23%, Hellas Verona 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Padova to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Padova 1–0 Hellas Verona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Padova43%fair 2.32 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.15
Hellas Verona34%fair 2.97 · @2.52
2.14Expected goals
1.16Padova xG
0.98Hellas Verona xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Padova 1.2 – 1.0 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Padova to win✗
43%
2.32
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Padova (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Hellas Verona +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Padova to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Padova / FT Padova✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.86
–
Recent results
Padova – last 6
WLDWLL
23 Aug
@ Pisa
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Udinese
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Monza
3–3
D
1 Aug
@ Cittadella
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Ospitaletto
1–3
L
22 Jul
@ Sassuolo
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 6
LDWWWW
23 Aug
vs Ascoli
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Lecco
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Virtus Verona
2–1
W
19 Jul
vs Rovereto
8–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Padova and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for Padova vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Padova vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers Padova have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hellas Verona 34%.
How many goals will there be in Padova vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Padova vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is Padova 1–0 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Padova vs Hellas Verona?
Padova vs Hellas Verona (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Euganeo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
