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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Avellino v Vicenza Virtus: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
3–0
FT
Avellino 38%Draw 23%Vicenza Virtus 39% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.60
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.40Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVicenza Virtus to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93

Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the Serie B brings Avellino against Vicenza Virtus at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Avellino are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Vicenza Virtus are 18th (in the drop zone) with 9.

Current form

Avellino, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arezzo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Vicenza Virtus, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Catanzaro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Avellino 1.6 xG, Vicenza Virtus 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Avellino 38%, draw 23%, Vicenza Virtus 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avellino 1–1 Vicenza Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Avellino38%fair 2.62 · @2.52
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Vicenza Virtus39%fair 2.58 · @2.80
3.20Expected goals
1.59Avellino xG
1.60Vicenza Virtus xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Avellino 1.6 – 1.6 Vicenza Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVicenza Virtus to win ✗39%2.582.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.83
Draw no betVicenza Virtus (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapAvellino +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.40 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.912.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.07
First team to scoreVicenza Virtus to score first ✗48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vicenza Virtus / FT Vicenza Virtus ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.93–

Recent results

Avellino – last 6

LLDLWW
22 Augvs Arezzo1–2L
14 Aug@ Monza0–3L
8 Augvs Torino1–1D
1 Aug@ Lazio3–6L
26 Jul@ Sambenedettese5–0W
22 Julvs Scafatese3–1W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Vicenza Virtus – last 6

WDDDLD
21 Augvs Catanzaro3–2W
8 Augvs Catania1–1D
25 Jul@ Genoa2–2D
19 Aprvs Pergolettese0–0D
3 Apr@ Lecco0–2L
29 Marvs Union Brescia1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Avellino and Vicenza Virtus.

Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?

On our numbers Avellino have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vicenza Virtus 39%.

How many goals will there be in Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?

Our predicted score is Avellino 1–1 Vicenza Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?

Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.