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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cesena v Mantova: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio Dino Manuzzi

Cesena

WDLDW
1–1
FT

Mantova

LWWWL
Cesena 38%Draw 24%Mantova 38% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.51
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Mantova to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMantova to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Cesena vs Mantova: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mantova travel to face Cesena on Sunday 6 September in the Serie B, with Stadio Dino Manuzzi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Cesena are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Mantova are 4th (among the top four) with 19.

Current form

Cesena, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Virtus Entella, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Mantova, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Palermo, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Mantova 3–0 Cesena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cesena 1.5 xG, Mantova 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cesena 38%, draw 24%, Mantova 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Mantova to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cesena 1–1 Mantova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cesena38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Mantova38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
3.00Expected goals
1.49Cesena xG
1.51Mantova xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Cesena 1.5 – 1.5 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMantova to win ✗38%2.612.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.75 ▲
Draw no betMantova (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapCesena +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreMantova to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mantova / FT Mantova ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

Cesena – last 6

WDLDWW
29 Aug@ Virtus Entella2–1W
23 Augvs Sampdoria1–1D
17 Aug@ Sassuolo0–3L
8 Aug@ Forli0–0D
5 Augvs Vis Pesaro3–0W
1 Augvs Fossombrone3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mantova – last 6

LWWWLW
3 Sep@ Palermo2–5L
30 Augvs Empoli3–1W
22 Aug@ Carrarese2–1W
16 Aug@ Lazio2–0W
9 Augvs Athletic Carpi0–1L
6 Aug@ Legnago Salus3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Mantova v Cesena3–0
Cesena vs Mantova head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cesena vs Mantova?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Cesena vs Mantova?

On our numbers Cesena have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mantova 38%.

How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Mantova?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Mantova?

Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Cesena vs Mantova?

Cesena vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.