Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cremonese to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCremonese to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceCremonese or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.46
Cremonese vs Padova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cremonese welcome Padova to Stadio Giovanni Zini for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 6 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Cremonese are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Padova are 10th (upper half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cremonese, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Parma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Padova, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hellas Verona, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cremonese 1.3 xG, Padova 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cremonese 60%, draw 24%, Padova 16%.
Lower-risk option: Cremonese or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Cremonese to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cremonese or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cremonese 1–0 Padova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cremonese60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.25
Padova16%fair 6.35 · @4.00
1.75Expected goals
1.29Cremonese xG
0.46Padova xG
43%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cremonese 1.3 – 0.5 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cremonese to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Cremonese or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Cremonese (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Padova +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Cremonese to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cremonese / FT Cremonese✓
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.46
–
Recent results
Cremonese – last 6
WLLWDD
1 Sep
@ Parma
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs Modena
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Empoli
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Lumezzane
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Cittadella
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Padova – last 6
DWLDWL
29 Aug
vs Hellas Verona
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Pisa
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Udinese
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Monza
3–3
D
1 Aug
@ Cittadella
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Ospitaletto
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cremonese and Padova.
Our pick is Cremonese or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cremonese vs Padova?
On our numbers Cremonese have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Padova 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cremonese vs Padova?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Cremonese 1–0 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Cremonese vs Padova?
Cremonese vs Padova (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
