Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultModena to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceModena or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Modena vs Avellino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Modena v Avellino in the Serie B, played at Stadio Alberto Braglia. In the table, Modena are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 11 matches; Avellino are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Modena, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cremonese, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Avellino, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vicenza Virtus, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Modena, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Avellino.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Avellino 1–0 Modena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Modena 2.0 xG, Avellino 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Modena 59%, draw 25%, Avellino 15%.
Lower-risk option: Modena or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Modena to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Modena 2–0 Avellino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Modena59%fair 1.68 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.25
Avellino15%fair 6.54 · @4.75
3.00Expected goals
2.02Modena xG
0.98Avellino xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Modena 2.0 – 1.0 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Modena to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Modena vs Avellino?
On our numbers Modena have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avellino 15%.
How many goals will there be in Modena vs Avellino?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Modena 2–0 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Modena vs Avellino?
Modena vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
