Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
2
Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArezzo to win ✗38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Arezzo vs Sudtirol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Arezzo v Sudtirol in the Serie B, played at Stadio Città di Arezzo. In the table, Arezzo are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Sudtirol are 12th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Arezzo, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Empoli, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sudtirol, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Genoa, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arezzo 1.3 xG, Sudtirol 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arezzo 38%, draw 25%, Sudtirol 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Sudtirol to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arezzo 1–1 Sudtirol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arezzo38%fair 2.62 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Sudtirol37%fair 2.69 · @3.30
2.63Expected goals
1.32Arezzo xG
1.31Sudtirol xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.3 – 1.3 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arezzo to win✗
38%
2.62
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Arezzo (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Sudtirol +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Arezzo to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arezzo / FT Arezzo✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Arezzo – last 6
WLLWLW
11 Sep
@ Empoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hellas Verona
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Palermo
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Avellino
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Union Brescia
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sudtirol – last 6
LDWDWD
15 Sep
@ Genoa
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Modena
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Catanzaro
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Benevento
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Sudtirol.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sudtirol 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
Arezzo vs Sudtirol (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Città di Arezzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
