Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultPisa to win ✗38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Mantova vs Pisa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Mantova v Pisa in the Serie B, played at Stadio Danilo Martelli. In the table, Mantova are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Pisa are 8th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mantova, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sampdoria, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Pisa, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Fiorentina, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mantova, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Pisa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.4 xG, Pisa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 38%, draw 24%, Pisa 38%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 1–1 Pisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mantova38%fair 2.65 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Pisa38%fair 2.62 · @2.45
2.88Expected goals
1.44Mantova xG
1.44Pisa xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.4 – 1.4 Pisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pisa to win✗
38%
2.62
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Pisa (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Mantova +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Pisa to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pisa / FT Pisa✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Mantova – last 6
WDLWWW
13 Sep
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Cesena
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Palermo
2–5
L
30 Aug
vs Empoli
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Carrarese
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Lazio
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pisa – last 6
LLWWLD
15 Sep
@ Fiorentina
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Virtus Entella
1–4
L
6 Sep
@ Juve Stabia
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Catanzaro
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Padova
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Empoli
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Pisa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Mantova vs Pisa?
On our numbers Mantova have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pisa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Pisa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Pisa?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Pisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Pisa?
Mantova vs Pisa (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
