Ascoli vs Avellino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Avellino travel to face Ascoli on Saturday 19 September in the Serie B, with Cino e Lillo Del Duca the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Ascoli are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Avellino are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Ascoli, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Padova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Avellino, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Palermo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ascoli 1.2 xG, Avellino 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ascoli 47%, draw 23%, Avellino 30%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ascoli 1–1 Avellino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ascoli47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Avellino30%fair 3.31 · @3.40
2.00Expected goals
1.16Ascoli xG
0.84Avellino xG
54%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.2 – 0.8 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✓
47%
2.13
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.73
Draw no bet
Ascoli (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Avellino +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Ascoli to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.07
–
Recent results
Ascoli – last 6
LWDWLW
12 Sep
@ Padova
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Benevento
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Genoa
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Potenza
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 6
DWWLLD
13 Sep
vs Palermo
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Modena
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Vicenza Virtus
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Arezzo
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Monza
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Torino
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascoli and Avellino.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ascoli vs Avellino?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avellino 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Avellino?
Ascoli vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
