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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sampdoria v Catanzaro: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Luigi Ferraris
2–1
FT
Sampdoria 43%Draw 23%Catanzaro 33% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.26
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Catanzaro to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSampdoria to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.19

Sampdoria vs Catanzaro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Catanzaro travel to face Sampdoria on Saturday 19 September in the Serie B, with Luigi Ferraris the venue – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Sampdoria are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Catanzaro are 20th (in the drop zone) with 6.

Current form

Sampdoria, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mantova, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Catanzaro, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Carrarese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Catanzaro, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sampdoria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sampdoria 1.5 xG, Catanzaro 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sampdoria 43%, draw 23%, Catanzaro 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Catanzaro to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampdoria 1–1 Catanzaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sampdoria43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.00
Catanzaro33%fair 3.02 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.49Sampdoria xG
1.26Catanzaro xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Sampdoria 1.5 – 1.3 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSampdoria to win ✓43%2.302.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.75 ▲
Draw no betSampdoria (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapCatanzaro +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreSampdoria to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sampdoria / FT Sampdoria ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.19–

Recent results

Sampdoria – last 6

LLLDLW
13 Sep@ Mantova0–2L
7 Sep@ Palermo1–3L
29 Augvs Juve Stabia1–2L
23 Aug@ Cesena1–1D
17 Aug@ Cremonese0–2L
9 Aug@ Parma2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Catanzaro – last 6

WLLLDW
12 Sepvs Carrarese1–0W
5 Sep@ Sudtirol0–2L
30 Aug@ Pisa1–2L
21 Aug@ Vicenza Virtus2–3L
15 Augvs Sudtirol2–2D
5 Augvs Giugliano3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sampdoria and Catanzaro.

Sampdoria vs Catanzaro head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?

On our numbers Sampdoria have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Catanzaro 33%.

How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?

Our predicted score is Sampdoria 1–1 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sampdoria vs Catanzaro?

Sampdoria vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.