Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultBenevento to win ✓55% · @1.91
Double chanceBenevento or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Benevento vs Cesena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Serie B brings Benevento against Cesena at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Benevento are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Cesena are 11th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Benevento, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Frosinone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Cesena, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juve Stabia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benevento 1.6 xG, Cesena 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benevento 55%, draw 25%, Cesena 20%.
Lower-risk option: Benevento or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Benevento or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benevento 1–0 Cesena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benevento55%fair 1.81 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
Cesena20%fair 5.06 · @3.75
2.40Expected goals
1.57Benevento xG
0.83Cesena xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.6 – 0.8 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✓
55%
1.81
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Benevento or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Benevento (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Cesena +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Benevento to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✓
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Benevento – last 6
LWWLDL
2 Oct
@ Frosinone
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Hellas Verona
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Ascoli
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Modena
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 6
DDDWDL
18 Sep
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Cremonese
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Mantova
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Sampdoria
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Sassuolo
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Cesena.
Our pick is Benevento or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Benevento vs Cesena?
On our numbers Benevento have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cesena 20%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Cesena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–0 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Cesena?
Benevento vs Cesena (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
