Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Palermo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPalermo to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓86% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Empoli vs Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Serie B brings Empoli against Palermo at Carlo Castellani. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Empoli are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 11 matches; Palermo are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Empoli, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Modena, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Palermo, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Padova, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Empoli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Empoli 0.7 xG, Palermo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Empoli 14%, draw 23%, Palermo 62%.
Lower-risk option: Palermo or draw (86%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Palermo to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palermo or draw (86%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Empoli 0–1 Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Empoli14%fair 6.93 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.30
Palermo62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
2.50Expected goals
0.72Empoli xG
1.78Palermo xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Empoli 0.7 – 1.8 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Palermo (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Palermo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Palermo to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Empoli – last 6
LLWLWD
20 Sep
@ Modena
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Arezzo
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Mantova
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Cremonese
1–0
W
17 Aug
@ Pisa
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 6
WDWWWW
19 Sep
vs Padova
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Avellino
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Sampdoria
3–1
W
3 Sep
vs Mantova
5–2
W
30 Aug
@ Arezzo
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Empoli and Palermo.
Our pick is Palermo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Empoli vs Palermo?
On our numbers Empoli have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palermo 62%.
How many goals will there be in Empoli vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Empoli vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Empoli 0–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Empoli vs Palermo?
Empoli vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Carlo Castellani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
