Sudtirol vs Ascoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Sudtirol v Ascoli in the Serie B, played at Stadio Druso. In the table, Sudtirol are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Ascoli are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Sudtirol, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Wacker Innsbruck, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Ascoli, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Avellino, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sudtirol 1.3 xG, Ascoli 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sudtirol 44%, draw 23%, Ascoli 33%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sudtirol 1–1 Ascoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sudtirol44%fair 2.30 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Ascoli33%fair 3.00 · @2.80
2.30Expected goals
1.25Sudtirol xG
1.05Ascoli xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sudtirol 1.3 – 1.0 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sudtirol to win✗
44%
2.30
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Draw no bet
Sudtirol (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Ascoli +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Sudtirol to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sudtirol / FT Sudtirol✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
Sudtirol – last 6
LWLDWD
2 Oct
vs Wacker Innsbruck
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Arezzo
4–1
W
15 Sep
@ Genoa
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Modena
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Catanzaro
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Benevento
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ascoli – last 6
WLWDWL
19 Sep
vs Avellino
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Padova
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Benevento
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Genoa
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sudtirol and Ascoli.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
On our numbers Sudtirol have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ascoli 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Sudtirol 1–1 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
Sudtirol vs Ascoli (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Druso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
