Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Al-Nassr vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almeria travel to face Al-Nassr on Tuesday 4 August in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Al-Nassr, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Estrela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Almeria, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Betis, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al-Nassr, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Almeria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Nassr 1.4 xG, Almeria 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Nassr 37%, draw 24%, Almeria 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Nassr 2–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Nassr37%fair 2.68 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.50
Almeria39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
2.85Expected goals
1.44Al-Nassr xG
1.40Almeria xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 1.4 – 1.4 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Al-Nassr
Almeria
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-6%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.49
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✓
39%
2.56
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Almeria (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Almeria +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Al-Nassr – last 6
LWDWWW
1 Aug
@ Estrela
2–4
L
21 May
vs Damac
4–1
W
12 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
7 May
@ Al Shabab
4–2
W
29 Apr
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs Al Ahli Doha
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 6
LLLDWD
1 Aug
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Malaga
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Malaga
0–0
D
9 Jun
vs Castellón
3–2
W
6 Jun
@ Castellón
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Almeria.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Almeria?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Almeria 39%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 2–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Almeria?
Al-Nassr vs Almeria (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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